Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Pick NFL Playoffs Round 1 2015
January 3, 2015 —
Spread: Steelers -3 O/U 46.5
PICK AGAINST THE SPREAD: STEELERS -3
Last Games: The Ravens beat the Cleveland Browns 20-10 and the Steelers won the AFC North with their 27-17 win over the Cincinnati Bengals.
The Steelers have won 4 straight games and not only that, but they have covered the spread in every one. They are the ESPN Pick by 3 points in this game. These 2 teams split the season series with each winning convincingly at home. Baltimore won 3 of their last 4 games of the season, but in this Fox Sports Pick for Ravens vs Steelers playoff game Pittsburgh is the team with will win and cover the spread.
While the Ravens did win 3 of their last 4 games they failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. I think CBS Sports Picks are being generous to the Ravens only getting 3 points, as they only beat one team all season that ended with a winning record and that was beating the Steelers in Baltimore way back in Week 2.
Joe Flacco is 5-1 in his last 6 playoff games, but 4 of those wins came in the amazing Super Bowl run 2 seasons ago. 3 teams from the AFC North made the playoffs in the Steelers, Ravens, and Bengals, but Baltimore is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 division game.
Ben Roethlisberger had a great season leading the Steelers and their 2nd ranked passing offense with Antonio Brown leading the league in receiving yards. However, he did not have to do it all with the league’s 2nd leading rusher in Le’Veon Bell. However, the RB is a question mark in this game after a knee injury in the season finale. Still, in the Steelers 20 point home win over the Ravens this season Bell only rushed for 20 yards.
The Steelers were a legit 6-2 at home this season and they have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 home games. Baltimore was 4-4 on the road this season, but none of those wins came against playoff bound teams. Even if the Ravens had a winning record on the road the Steelers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games facing teams with a winning record on the road.
Pittsburgh is a tough place to play in January and they are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home playoff games, which is why it is no shock they are the ESPN Pick, in terms of betting, in this game.
ATS and O/U Record
Baltimore Ravens: 7-8-1 ATS / O/U 7-9
Pittsburgh Steelers: 9-7 ATS / O/U 9-7
Key Betting Trends
The Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 playoff games, and in their last 4 games the total has gone Under every time.
The Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, 8-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and in their last 12 home games the total has gone Over 9 times.
Head-To-Head Betting Trends
Over is 11-4-1 in the last 16 meetings in Pittsburgh.
Steelers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Pittsburgh.
Steelers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.